It elektrisiteitsnet kin de enerzjytransysje net oan
May 23, 2026 · Frisian News
Europe's electricity networks lack the capacity to support mass electrification and renewable energy integration, forcing costly infrastructure upgrades that governments have not budgeted for.
FryskDe netbehearder fan Dútslân melde ferline moanne dat de kapasiteit fan de transformatoaren op grutte transmisjelinnen by pykoeren op 94 prosint fan it maksimum sit. De Nederlânske netautoriteit warskôge yn april dat sûnder direkte ynvestearingen, blackouts yn de winter fan 2027 begjinne kinne. Netwurkferbetterings dy't regearings foar 2030 begruttet hienen, fereaskje no ôfrûning tsjin 2025 om kongestje foar te kommen. Nimmen jout iepentlik ta dat it transysjeskema op fantasysiffers basearre wie.
It kearnprobleem is ienfâldich: it tafoegjen fan elektryske auto's, waarmtepompen en yndustriële elektrifikaasje oan in net dat foar konsumpsje út 1990 ûntworpen is, makket foarsisbare fysike problemen. In inkele wyk dy't 40 elektryske weinen tagelyk oplade, ferbrûkt mear stroom as de âlde netwurkleiding drage kin. De ûnderfining fan Denemarken lit de wiskunde dúdlik sjen. Doe't Kopenhagen snellaadstasjes ynfierde, stjoerden netbehearders it ferkear mei de hân om de fraach oer oeren te sprieden. Dat wurket as tydlike oplossing foar ien stêd. It mislearret wannear't healve kontinenten itselde besykje.
Elektrysiteitsbedriuwen en netbehearders witte sûnt 2018 fan dizze beheining ôf. Ynterne ûndersiken fan Tennet, RWE en EDF foarspelden krekt wat wy no sjogge. Dochs stelden regearings doelstellings foar elektrifikaasje fêst sûnder de ynfrastruktuer te finansierjen dy't elektrifikaasje mooglik makket. De reden is politike skynfertoaning. It bouwen fan substasjes en it ferbetterjen fan kabels hellet gjin koppen. It oankundigjen fan in ferbod op benzineauto's yn 2030 wint stimmen.
De kosten binne enorm en nimmen wol se neame. De Belgyske netbehearder skattet dat lânlike elektrifikaasje 18 miljard euro oan ferbetterings oer acht jier fereasket. Dit getal giet út fan gjin elektrifikaasje fan de yndustriële sektor. Tel dat der by op en it getal ferdûbelet. Frankryk stiet foar soartgelikense rekkens. De measte Europeeske regearings hawwe likernôch 2 oant 3 miljard euro yn it jier foar netwurkwurk reservearre. De werklike eask leit tichter by 6 oant 8 miljard euro yn it jier yn de EU. De kleau slút him troch blackouts, net troch ynvestearingen.
Opropen foar fraachbehear, tûke oplading en batterijopslach klinke ridlik yn PowerPoint-presintaasjes. Yn de praktyk ferpleatse se it probleem ynstee fan it op te lossen. In waarmtepomp dy't om 2 oere nachts ynstee fan 18 oere rint, ferbrûkt noch altyd deselde totale stroom. Batterijopslach fertraget allinne wannear't dy stroom brûkt wurdt. Jo kinne basale elektrotechnyk net ûntgean mei wishful thinking of genôch wynmûnen. It net hat gewoan fersterking nedich. Immen sil dy rekken úteinlik betelje, fia belestings of fia hieltyd mear stroomûnderbrekkins. De fraach is oft Jeropa dit no erkent of oant sikehuzen op needgeneratoaren draaie.
Germany's grid operator reported last month that transformer capacity on major transmission lines sits at 94 percent of maximum during peak hours. The Dutch grid authority warned in April that without immediate investment, rolling blackouts could begin in winter 2027. Grid upgrades that governments budgeted for completion by 2030 now require completion by 2025 just to prevent bottlenecks. Nobody publicly admits the transition timeline was built on fantasy numbers.
The core problem is simple: adding electric cars, heat pumps, and industrial electrification to a grid designed for 1990s consumption creates predictable physics problems. A single neighborhood charging 40 electric vehicles simultaneously pulls more power than the old network line can carry. Denmark's experience shows the math clearly. When Copenhagen rolled out rapid EV charging stations, grid operators manually rerouted traffic to spread demand across hours. That works as a temporary fix for one city. It fails when half the continent tries the same thing at once.
Utility companies and grid operators have known about this constraint since 2018. Internal studies from Tennet, RWE, and EDF predicted exactly what we see now. Yet governments set electrification targets without funding the infrastructure that makes electrification possible. The reason is political theater. Building substations and upgrading cables gets no headlines. Announcing a ban on gasoline cars in 2030 wins votes.
The costs are staggering and nobody wants to name them. Belgium's grid operator estimates that nationwide electrification requires 18 billion euros in upgrades over eight years. That figure assumes no industrial sector electrification. Add that in and the number doubles. France faces similar bills. Most European governments have allocated roughly 2 to 3 billion euros annually for grid work. The actual requirement sits closer to 6 to 8 billion euros per year across the EU. The gap closes through blackouts, not investment.
Calls for demand management, smart charging, and battery storage sound reasonable in PowerPoint presentations. In practice, they shift the problem rather than solve it. A heat pump that runs at 2 a.m. instead of 6 p.m. still draws the same total power. Battery storage just delays when that power draws. You cannot dodge basic electrical engineering with wishful thinking or enough wind turbines. The grid simply needs reinforcement. Someone will eventually pay that bill, either through taxes or through increasingly frequent interruptions to power supply. The question is whether Europe admits this now or waits until hospitals run on backup generators.
Published May 23, 2026 · Frisian News · Ljouwert, Fryslân